Contrarion Betting
One of the most consistent and effective ways of betting on sports for many serious bettors is to bet against the public. The strategy of betting against the public is based on the fact that over the long run, the betting public loses more money than they win. So in theory, if you are on the opposite side of the betting public you will profit throughout each season.
This method of sports betting has started to gain steam in the past year on may sports betting forums. Many bettors work hard on handicapping games based on stats, trends and sports knowledge for a few seasons. After they wind up breaking even or losing money, they look for a new type of betting style.
Betting against the public can be very profitable, when done correctly. Some bettors try to take the easy way out and look at one consensus site, then put all of then bets out based on that. Just like any other style of betting, you must look at different sources and angles to continue to win. Just because 80% of the public is on one side of a game, does not mean you should bet against them solely based on this fact. The 80% on one side is a great piece of information that you should use as a part of your betting strategy.
When looking to bet against the public, there are a few main factors you should look into with every game. The first factor used when betting against the public is the consensus betting sites. There are three main sites used by most bettors. The most important is SportsInsights.com. Sports Insights lets bettors know which side bettors are taking on a game over a variety of different sports books. This information is very critical to betting against the public. The information is free, and all you have to do is register to get a username and password.
The second site that is useful is Sportsbook.com . Sportsbook.com is a book that accepts a good amount of public and recreational betting. The have a link a few spots down on their homepage, where you can find the percent of bets that are being placed on every game at Sportsbook.com. This information is a great compliment to the info provided by SportsInsights.
The third consensus site that is used is Wagerline. Wagerline is a mock sports book for people who want to keep track of their bets, and also for people who don’t want to bet real money on games. They show you percentages on each side of every game just like the other consensus sites do. Wagerline however is not weighted as heavily in many bettors books, due to the fact that it is not a large sample of people, and many of the people are not betting real money.
After figuring out who the majority of the public is on, most bettors then look to many different message boards to find out more information to which way the masses are betting. Finding bettors who are squares on message boards, can be one of the most profitable angles in a sports bettor’s portfolio. Some of the larger message boards, where you can find legions of square bettors are Covers, UltimateCapper and MadJack.
After going through the consensus sites and the message boards, you should look at all the info you have and start to sort it out. This part of the strategy is a lot like following a sports betting system. Most sports bettors, at this point give more weight to different situations like home, away, favorite or underdog. The two most profitable situations over the past few seasons are listed below.
The betting public is on a road favorite. The message boards have a large amount of bettors on the road favorite. In this case the home underdog is a great bet. This is especially true in College football and College basketball ; two sports where home field/court advantage heavily influence the game.
The second situation has been very profitable and does not come up as often as the situation above. In this situation, the betting public is on the underdog in a game where the underdog seems like they should be favored. If the underdog is on the road, this is even a better situation. When the public heavily favors an underdog, the favorite is one of the best betting situations possible. Always look for these situations.
Fading the public can be one of the best ways to handicap a game. It takes hard work and a good amount of research, however you are factoring many more things into a bet that most handicappers don’t use and this gives you a great advantage.
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